I remember several years ago someone fm NWS in AK, Anchorage maybe, wrote a paper on La Nina & La Nino. Something like wx patterns changed for this topic around a common longitude. West of that longitude one thing, east another. I don't know what that latitude was/is, but does either La Nina or La Nino, mean an increased or decreased
likelyhood of lightning strikes around Fairbanks ? Just curious if you have any thoughts on that topic. -Rich-
You're probably thinking of John Papineau's 2001 paper "Wintertime temperature anomalies in Alaska correlated with ENSO and PDO". There's some but not much correlation between ENSO and total wildfire area burned in Alaska, but so many other factors involved (time, fuels state), etc. that I'd surprised if there's any signal there.
https://substack.com/home/post/p-147142550
Note the x-axis mislabeling of 2000 as 2020
Fixed. Thanks
thanks, what is the URL of the corrected version?
https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/p/interior-alaska-summer-discomfort
Colder climate before 1970, less smoke, maybe less fires or lightning strikes ?
Very little wildfire in the early 1960s appears to be real and at least at Fairbanks there were few thunderstorms (only 10 days with thunder 1960-63).
I remember several years ago someone fm NWS in AK, Anchorage maybe, wrote a paper on La Nina & La Nino. Something like wx patterns changed for this topic around a common longitude. West of that longitude one thing, east another. I don't know what that latitude was/is, but does either La Nina or La Nino, mean an increased or decreased
likelyhood of lightning strikes around Fairbanks ? Just curious if you have any thoughts on that topic. -Rich-
You're probably thinking of John Papineau's 2001 paper "Wintertime temperature anomalies in Alaska correlated with ENSO and PDO". There's some but not much correlation between ENSO and total wildfire area burned in Alaska, but so many other factors involved (time, fuels state), etc. that I'd surprised if there's any signal there.
Very interesting !
Thanks Rick.