Thanks for your (as ever) thought-provoking, well-written and -illustrated newsletter, Rick. The footnote for this issue:
"September 1995 was exceptionally mild (for the era) almost everywhere in the Arctic, and was the mildest September from 1940 up to that time. From today’s perspective, every September since 2004 has been milder than 1995."
in one we'll use in the OneTree STEAM Studio for the next few months when visitors look at the spring phenology calendars. It's great to have the flip side of the year represented by your text and graphics and your 'outlook' or capsule comment (or?) "Slow start to the sea-ice growing season" for people to chew on. Helps us all to consider degree-days and various growing seasons. Many thanks.
Thank you, Rick. This information is not good, but certainly unsurprising news. I wrote an article on the Greenland ice sheet recently. Siberia and the Arctic are on my mind, too.
Here's an interview from last month with Mika Rantanen with FMI, lead author of the 2022 paper that set the stage for the 4x warming stat. Basically, he makes the point that Arctic Amplification as a number (not concept) is influenced by the physics, time scales used and interdecadal variability in the Arctic and globally.
Thanks for your (as ever) thought-provoking, well-written and -illustrated newsletter, Rick. The footnote for this issue:
"September 1995 was exceptionally mild (for the era) almost everywhere in the Arctic, and was the mildest September from 1940 up to that time. From today’s perspective, every September since 2004 has been milder than 1995."
in one we'll use in the OneTree STEAM Studio for the next few months when visitors look at the spring phenology calendars. It's great to have the flip side of the year represented by your text and graphics and your 'outlook' or capsule comment (or?) "Slow start to the sea-ice growing season" for people to chew on. Helps us all to consider degree-days and various growing seasons. Many thanks.
Thank you, Rick. This information is not good, but certainly unsurprising news. I wrote an article on the Greenland ice sheet recently. Siberia and the Arctic are on my mind, too.
https://geoffreydeihl.substack.com/p/the-greenland-ice-sheet-is-gone
Add Antarctica to the list of concerns:
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/04/climate/antarctica-greening-vegetation-satellite-images/index.html
A very interesting report. It lines up with what we know about Arctic Amplification. The High Arctic is warming 4X faster than the rest of the planet.
Roughly 38% of the HEAT ENERGY that starts in the NH oceans reaches the Arctic. If you add ENERGY to the Tropics it ends up in the Arctic.
The question was always, "what happens to that ENERGY"?
Now we know. It builds up. Really, really, fast.
The +0.5°C we just got over the last 4 years. That's going to be +2°C in the Arctic over the next 2-3 years.
Here's an interview from last month with Mika Rantanen with FMI, lead author of the 2022 paper that set the stage for the 4x warming stat. Basically, he makes the point that Arctic Amplification as a number (not concept) is influenced by the physics, time scales used and interdecadal variability in the Arctic and globally.
https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/natural-variability-boosts-arctic-warming-says-researchers
The graphs tell a story and it's not a good one.